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Angela Merkel calls the citizens in a televised address to solidarity. This is necessary since the Second world war, says the Chancellor seriously. Shortly thereafter, the Federal government and the countries decide a contact prohibition for more than two people. The drastic emergency measures against the spread of the Corona Virus, put Germany in a ghostly silence. Four months later, more than 205,000 people proven with Sars infected-CoV-2. We are just at the beginning of the second wave of Infection? A new Lockdown threatens even?

More than 170 positive Tests in the case of Harvest workers in the lower Bavarian Palazzo mamming and at least 44 infections in tourism enterprises in the Austrian town of St. Wolfgang show how fast it can go. “The second Corona-wave is already there,” said Saxony’s Prime Minister, Michael Kretschmer (CDU). The Freiburg medical statistician Gerd Antes holds nothing of such warnings: the “second wave” will give a false picture.

Risk summer holiday In the Austrian St. Wolfgang, at least 44 employees of tourism are infected holdings

Others speak of a permanent wave and the swelling to go down. Or gluten-nests, the aufflacken, to lapse or to grow a brand together.

It is a fact that The authorities are worried. Worldwide, the world health organization (WHO) reported on Friday a record number of new infections within 24 hours. In Germany, the number of registered new infections increased at the end of the week on two days in a row on a high three-digit value. On Sunday, it was again “only” 305 new cases.

Already strong collateral damage

The pandemic has left deep traces in the Land. 2.85 million people are unemployed – approximately 640,000 of them as a result of Corona. 6.8 million were in short-time work. For many companies, the second quarter was a disaster. Half expected, according to Figures from the German chamber of Commerce and industry tags until 2021, a noticeable improvement – or even later.

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In children and adolescents hyperactivity, emotional problems, headache and sleep have increased difficulties, as a study by the University medical centre of Hamburg-showing Eppendorf. The Federal chamber of medical doctors worry especially the “collateral damage”. Many do not, or too late, would have sought, out of fear of infection even medical help, says President Klaus Reinhardt. “Alone in the emergency rooms of around 30 per cent fewer patients were treated with heart problems. The complications after a heart attack have increased significantly, because many are gone too late to a clinic.”

The Federation and the Länder are alarmed. “We should do everything to prevent a second wave of Infection,” warns the Federal Minister of labour, Hubertus Heil (SPD). “Especially for certain industries, I don’t want to imagine a setback at all – for example, for the restaurateurs.”

Risk Summer Holidays, Risk Job

Risk Of Summer Vacation. Virologists wait with Trepidation to the end of the holiday. In many countries, the Corona is development dramatically. Not only because of the celebrations at the Ballermann on Mallorca, where the Local had to then Yes close it again, the concern is large. All foreign tourists can now according to their return free of charge on the Virus testing.

Risk Of Operation Great. A new law with stricter rules for the big slaughterhouses according to the infection in sausage and meat company Tönnies this Wednesday in the Cabinet. Work protection is now a Central, says, healing. “Not only in the meat industry, but also in other areas, so that the workplace is not the stove to the infection.”

The Minister of labour stressed that Germany has beaten so far in the international comparison, a very well – both for the protection of the health, as well as the government responses to the deep economic cuts. But it is also prepared for a possible swell in Corona?

The economic head of the Institute for the world economy (IfW), Stefan Kooths, says: “Against such a scenario, the stimulus measures of the Federal government are not robust.” The government put in incentives for mass consumption, to subsidies for companies in Liquiditätsnot.

Hanging game until the end of the year

Doctors President Reinhardt hopes on a relatively low level of infection rate reached by Hygiene and distance. “Then we could prevent that it comes to a new area-wide Lockdown. Because the would withstand the society and the economy hardly more to the same extent.”

The health sector could, however, switch in the case of a re-emergence of the pandemic quickly back into full crisis mode, says Reinhardt. “Hospitals and doctor’s offices, the capacity in the case of a new Covid can to-19-shaft quickly.”

Kooths says: “the horror scenarios of a new complete lock downs are realistic.” But all experts expected a further impasse by the end of the year, depending on local and regional development times stricter, sometimes looser Anti-infectious rules.

Uncomfortable it remains of the view that the economic researcher first, one way or the other. “On the labour market the worst is yet to come.” Because the normal movement had come on the job market to a Standstill, recruitment, absence and insolvency numbers are likely to rise in the autumn, will reach the number of unemployed in the Winter, peaked at around three million. “Even without a big second wave of the crisis is weathered.”

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